EXCLUSIVE! Hamas publicity stunt hands Israel an intelligence goldmine

On Saturday, Hamas staged an elaborate media event in Palestine Square in central Gaza to hand over four Israeli hostages—Karina, Daniella, Naama, and Liri—attempting to project an image of strength, victory, and control.

But behind the egotistical spectacle, they unknowingly gifted intelligence agencies a goldmine of actionable intelligence.

This intelligence has the potential to completely exonerate Israel in the International Court of Justice.

What Hamas intended as a propaganda win has become an intelligence windfall for Israel. From identifying personnel to tracing stolen equipment and disproving claims in international legal battles, the event revealed far more than Hamas likely anticipated. Their media spectacle, meant to intimidate Israel and portray an image of dominance, may instead become a critical liability.

The Media Circus That Revealed Too Much

Hamas choreographed every aspect of the event, but their hasty attempts to showcase power became a glaring display of vulnerabilities. Hundreds of Gazans with smartphones and internet access captured the event from multiple angles, inadvertently recording faces, vehicles, and locations.

For instance, the Hebrew signs displayed on stage reading "Zionism Won’t Win" can be traced back to local businesses, potentially offering leads on suppliers and organizers. Even the table prominently displayed in the middle of the stage has been identified in earlier footage linked to Hamas headquarters, further confirming operational locations.

Fake “Fighters” in the Spotlight

The masked men posing as Hamas fighters raise significant doubts. Their movements and handling of weapons lacked the discipline typical of trained operatives, while their freshly issued uniforms suggested they were hastily assembled for show. This raises the question: Where are the real fighters?

If these men were active Qassam Brigade members, Israeli forces would likely have neutralized them during the recent Gaza operations. Hamas is unlikely to risk its most valuable operatives in such public spectacles, especially given their strategic importance and vulnerability to targeting by the IDF. This theatrical display, therefore, exposes the group’s limited operational depth.

Cutting-Edge Facial Recognition at Play

Israel’s Shin Bet is well-equipped to exploit the footage from the event. Advanced AI facial recognition technology, developed by Israeli company Corsight, can identify individuals even under masks. By cross-referencing facial features, such as eyes and partial profiles, with existing databases, Israeli intelligence could already be mapping key figures within Hamas ranks, including newly recruited personnel.

The Forensic Trail

The uniforms worn by the hostages will undoubtedly undergo DNA analysis to trace their captors. However, the Tavor (TAR-21) rifles prominently displayed by Hamas operatives are of particular interest. These weapons, originally used exclusively by IDF soldiers, were likely seized during the October 7 attacks. Tracking the origins of these rifles could provide direct links to those involved in the kidnappings and possibly uncover the whereabouts of IDF soldiers still in captivity.

The Crown Jewel: Exposing the Truth in International Courts

The Tavor rifles also represent a critical counterargument to international claims implicating Israeli soldiers in civilian deaths. These Israeli weapons were stolen on October 7 from soldiers and military bases that were raided by Hamas and Al Qassam.

Accusations against Israel in the ICC and ICJ often rely on forensic reports identifying munition types. The presence of Tavor rifles in Hamas hands, confirmed through widely available footage, provides crucial evidence that such weapons are no longer exclusively used by the IDF. If this is true, then any “Israeli munition” found in Gaza is equally likely to be fired by a Hamas operative through an Israeli-made weapon.

This revelation dismantles the narrative that civilian casualties in Gaza are solely the result of Israeli actions. Videos and photos, especially from this past week, have repeatedly shown Hamas operatives using Israeli-made weapons to target civilians, further corroborating the argument that Hamas, not the IDF, bears responsibility for many deaths in Gaza.

Despite the overabundance of cameras and phones documenting events in Gaza, no credible footage has ever emerged showing IDF soldiers committing the atrocities they are accused of. In contrast, there is a growing archive of Hamas’ own crimes captured on video. If the IDF were guilty of the crimes they are accused of, the footage should be widely available.

The fact that it isn’t is all too telling.

A Strategic Blunder with Long-Term Consequences

In their eagerness to control the narrative, Hamas inadvertently laid bare all their weaknesses. From exposing new recruits and locations to providing damning evidence of their misuse of stolen Israeli weaponry, this event has handed Israel a strategic advantage. The consequences of this intelligence windfall will undoubtedly exact a heavy price on Hamas in the long term, both on the battlefield and in the court of public opinion. Their obsession with control and optics will surely be their downfall in the end.

As the dust settles, one fact is clear: Hamas’ media circus, intended as a show of strength, may go down as one of their most significant strategic blunders, undermining their credibility and strengthening Israel’s position in the ongoing conflict and international legal battles.

Will we see this evidence presented in the ICJ at the next hearing? Time will tell.

This analysis is based on initial intelligence assessments of the January 2025 hostage release event.