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Former Mossad Chief Shatters Hopes for Instant Iranian Collapse

Former Mossad counterterrorism chief Oded Eilam warns that the Iranian regime won't collapse overnight. Describing a "slow bleed" process, he highlights the risk of President Trump seeking a quick two-week deal that conflicts with Israel's long-term security goals.

Ali Larijani and his son's coffins
Ali Larijani and his son's coffins

Oded Eilam, former head of the Mossad's Counterterrorism Division, is offering a sobering reality check amid optimistic reports of the Iranian regime's imminent downfall. Currently a researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign Affairs and Security, Eilam warns that the road to victory will be long and requires strategic patience.

Key Insights: Stability vs. Decay

Despite severe military and economic blows, Eilam argues the regime remains functionally stable in the short term.

The "Trump Gap": Two Weeks vs. One Year

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Eilam highlights a potential friction point between Israeli and American strategic goals:

Intelligence Successes and the Northern Front

While cautious about the timeline, Eilam praised the "impressive results" of Israeli intelligence.

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