The turnout battle
The poll points to a slight advantage in voting motivation among opposition supporters: 82% of this bloc's voters declare they will definitely vote, compared to 78% of coalition voters. Among coalition voters, 18% are "fairly certain" they will vote and 1% "don't know," while in the opposition 13% are "fairly certain," 2% "not so certain," and 3% declare there is "a high chance they won't vote."
The share of undecided voters who do not lean toward any party stands at 3.9%, of whom 2.4% declare they will definitely vote but have not yet decided for whom.
A dramatic finding in the poll relates to public trust in security decisions ahead of the election. In a scenario of an Israeli strike on Iran before going to the polls, 47% of respondents answered that they do not trust the government and are certain it is a political move. In contrast, 33% trust the government and believe it is a necessary move, and 20% answered "depends on circumstances" or "don't know."
Regarding the preferred government structure after the election, the public is divided: 33% prefer a broad unity government, 31% want a full right-wing government, and 23% support a full opposition government. 6% answered "something else" and 7% have not yet formed an opinion.
In a scenario where neither bloc succeeds in forming a government and deciding the election, more than half the public (52%) prefers going to another election, while 32% would prefer a unity government with rotation between Netanyahu and Eisenkot. An additional 16% refused or did not know how to answer this question.
