Following waves of Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russian territory, Su-57 aircraft have recently been reassigned to intercept explosive drones over Russia rather than participate in offensive operations against Ukraine. This defensive redeployment underscores Moscow's struggle to achieve aerial dominance against Ukrainian forces.
Russia's difficulties stem from several critical battlefield factors: a dense defensive network that effectively integrates aging Soviet equipment with cutting-edge Western technology, the threat posed by F-16s that have dramatically enhanced Ukraine's interception capabilities, and the tactical inflexibility of Russian air doctrine.
Throughout the conflict, Russian air forces have demonstrated persistent difficulties coordinating real-time operations between ground and air units, hampered by a centralized and rigid command structure. The current situation has produced attrition and complete stalemate in the aerial dimension of the war.
Rather than Russian airpower deciding the conflict from above, Moscow has been forced to rely primarily on launching missiles from distant positions and deploying glide bombs, while Ukrainian skies remain a dangerous and contested battleground for both sides.
Recent American intelligence assessments suggest that Russia's difficulties in Ukraine may lead Putin to test NATO's resolve with a limited offensive in coming years. The frozen aerial war over Ukraine illustrates the limitations of Russian military power when confronted with advanced Western technology.