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Internal Likud Dispute

Likud Warns: Winter's Real Seat Count

As Netanyahu weighs how to handle Ofer Winter's new party, senior Likud figures are sounding the alarm: attacking him could backfire badly for the right-wing bloc

Ofer Winter

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and senior Likud campaign officials have decided to run an aggressive campaign against Ofer Winter's new party in an effort to weaken it, but the move is sparking fierce internal opposition within Likud itself, journalist Anna Barsky reported on Maariv's website.

Likud figures who oppose the decision to attack Winter are warning that attempting to push him below the electoral threshold could damage Netanyahu's bloc more than it helps Likud. According to their assessment, Winter commands a hard core of support worth approximately three Knesset seats that won't evaporate even under aggressive campaigning. The danger for Netanyahu, they argue, is that the attacks will drive Winter below the threshold, but those votes will be lost entirely rather than transferring to Likud.

Given the risk of wasted votes, these sources are proposing a strategic shift: sign a surplus vote agreement with Winter's "Amcha Yisrael" party and hope it crosses the threshold instead.

The internal debate also touches on the surplus vote agreement Likud announced with the Smotrich-Feiglin list, which has not yet been formally signed. According to the report, the dissenting voices are proposing a complete reshuffling of surplus agreements within the right-wing camp: Likud would sign with Winter, while the Smotrich-Feiglin list would sign with Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit. a division they claim would be far more effective for the right-wing bloc as a whole.

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