Democrats' advantage among Jewish voters in New York has dropped sharply since Zohran Mamdani's election as mayor, CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said on Wednesday.
In the governor's race, the Democratic margin among Jewish voters is now 13 points, Enten said, compared with Gov. Kathy Hochul's 51-point lead in 2022 and Andrew Cuomo's 55-point edge in 2018. That amounts to a 38-point swing toward Republicans.
On the generic ballot for the House, the Democratic lead among New York Jewish voters has fallen from 49 points in 2022 to 13 points this year, according to Enten.
Mamdani's net favorability among Jewish voters stands at minus 23, about 31 points below his rating with New York voters overall, Enten said.
A Siena College poll in September found Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman narrowly ahead of Hochul among Jewish voters, 46% to 43%, even as Hochul led by nine points statewide. In the same poll, Jewish voters viewed Mamdani unfavorably by 64% to 33%.
Mamdani, a democratic socialist and vocal critic of Israel, won about a third of the city's Jewish vote in last November's mayoral election, according to exit polls, while Cuomo, running as an independent, took about 63%.
Enten said the shift could prove decisive in close races, adding that Jewish voters "may just save Mike Lawler's seat" in New York's 17th Congressional District.
