Israel Is Walking Into the Biggest Death-Trap in Its History

There are now talks of reaching the point of a historic Israeli-Syrian deal - perhaps even next week.

Few Arab states make peace just for the sake of peace. The Arabs may not be the best soldiers in the world, but when it comes to negotiations they can teach even the sharpest Jewish minds a lesson or two. No Arab state and no Arab body ever signs peace with Israel for nothing, not even a security agreement.

Egypt received every last centimeter of Sinai, including the evacuation of settlements, and for fifty years the ability to funnel weapons and propaganda into Gaza, thereby keeping Jerusalem under its shadow. Add to that hundreds of billions from America, and yet Israel remains the reference enemy of its army till this day.

Jordan received half the Dead Sea, billions in Israeli aid, more billions in water, agriculture, security, aerial and intelligence cooperation, and of course the ability to push the burning Palestinian issue far from Amman and deep into Jerusalem, not to mention a symbolic but very meaningful foothold on the Temple Mount.

Perhaps the only Arab countries that ever signed with Israel without demanding territorial concessions, but still receiving money, scientific cooperation and investments, were the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Morocco. And as we recall, none of them share a border with Israel. And in fact those are way more moderate and historically Pro-American regimes, with whom peace was a matter of time.

Now to Ahmad al Sharaa. One must remember, a man does not put on a suit and suddenly cease to be a jihadist.

History has seen very few cases of jihadists who transformed completely. Muammar Gaddafi was maybe the only one of them, it took 35 years, and he was killed not long after his transformation.

For al Sharaa this agreement is first of all about achieving territorial gains from Israel.

After that it is about removing Israel’s watchful eyes from his territory so he can build up freely.

And finally it will allow him to prepare properly for his eventual war against Israel.

The problem for the Israelis is that they long for agreements, for peace, for calm. And they are willing to deceive themselves along the way to get it. This is not a case of an Anwar Sadat, a man with a certain modern nationalism, who had already fought his wars with the Zionists, who understood that he must take the road of Americanization after the Soviets drained him dry and plundered his country, or who was in such dire economic straits that he had no choice but to sign.

None of that exists here. After all, the same Muslim Brotherhood that Killed Sadat, is what Julani is!

The days of peace with Egypt were the days before the radical Islamist wave and before the rule of the ayatollahs.

The idea of cutting a deal with al Sharaa before Israel secures an arrangement with Saudi Arabia is a mistake.

There will be no one to keep him in check.

And when that moment comes, all the military achievements in Lebanon and Syria will be deeply squandered, and Israel cornered.

Julani has not abandoned his dream. And that dream reaches far beyond the Golan.