Political analyst Amit Segal published a poll Sunday morning on his Telegram channel asking his followers how they expected the election campaign to end and what the next government would look like. The poll drew 67,707 voters, and the results show that scenarios in which a change bloc forms a government together received the highest share of support.
According to the results, 25% of participants predicted that a change bloc would be formed with more mandates than the Netanyahu bloc. That option received the highest vote share among the five scenarios presented in the poll, with approximately 16,800 votes.
In second place, with 23% and approximately 15,300 votes, was the scenario in which the Netanyahu bloc would have more mandates than the change bloc.
Two additional scenarios dealt with achieving a majority of 61 Knesset seats. Eighteen percent of participants, approximately 12,200 voters, predicted that the change bloc would reach 61 mandates, while 17%, approximately 11,700 voters, predicted that the Netanyahu bloc would achieve such a majority.
Another scenario presented in the poll was a tie between the blocs. It also received 17% of the vote, with approximately 11,300 participants.
In total, 43% of participants chose one of the two scenarios in which the change bloc leads, compared to 40% who chose scenarios in which the Netanyahu bloc leads. An additional 17% predicted a tie between the blocs.
