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The Gulf Factor

Israel? This is the pressure Qatar is exerting on Trump

Why Qatar is Demanding an Unconditional Opening of the Strait of Hormuz Before Any Final Deal is Signed.

President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump

While the world’s eyes are glued to the "Shock and Awe" of U.S. military movements and precision strikes, a different kind of war is being waged in the mahogany boardrooms of Doha. Qatar has issued a stark, unofficial ultimatum to the Trump administration: You can negotiate with Tehran all you want, but the Gulf’s interests, and the world’s energy supply, are not up for auction.

The message comes from Hamad bin Jassim, the former Prime Minister of Qatar. Known for his immense wealth and outsized influence, bin Jassim often serves as the "unofficial voice" for Qatari positions that the formal government is too diplomatic to say aloud. At this critical junction, his message to Washington is clear: there will be no deal with Iran unless specific Qatari and Gulf conditions are met.

The Red Line: The Strait of Hormuz

For Qatar, the Strait of Hormuz is not a chess piece to be moved during negotiations; it is the essence of stability and existence. Bin Jassim is demanding that the Strait be opened unconditionally and before any agreement is signed.

No Bargaining: Qatar insists the Strait must not be used as a tool for pressure or a bargaining chip.

Global Stakes: Any attempt at unilateral control over this international waterway is viewed as a direct threat to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) and the entire global economy.

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Pre-Condition: The Qatari position is that the waterway must be fully operational before talks even conclude, ensuring it isn't used as "blackmail" during the final stages.

The "Invoice": Demand for Fair Compensation

Perhaps most striking is Qatar’s demand for financial and strategic accountability. Bin Jassim argued that the Gulf states have "borne the economic and strategic consequences" of a conflict they did not initiate, including disrupted exports and energy security threats.

"It is our full right, and even our duty, to present the extent of the direct and indirect losses caused to us... we must demand fair compensation reflecting the size of the damage we suffered", says bin Jassim.

A Seat at the Table

Qatar is signaling that the era of "negotiating over their heads" is over. Bin Jassim emphasized that the GCC countries cannot be absent from the table where the future of the region is being shaped. This demand for inclusion is seen as a way for Qatar to protect its interests without appearing too "pro-Iran" in the eyes of its more hawkish neighbors.

The Israel Factor: Missiles and Nuclear Oversight

While Qatar focuses on energy and maritime stability, the broader strategic pressure includes the issue of ballistic missiles. According to Dr. Ariel Admoni of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security, the current Qatari Prime Minister has already hinted that missile control is a necessary condition.

For Israel, this Qatari pressure adds a complex layer to the "Long Game." While Jerusalem focuses on the removal of enriched uranium and the weakening of the IRGC, Qatar’s insistence on a seat at the table and the "unconditional" opening of Hormuz ensures that the economic foundations of the region remain stable—even as the regime in Tehran begins to fracture.

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