A new Maariv poll conducted by Lazar Research under Dr. Menachem Lazar in partnership with Panel4ALL shows a modest recovery for the coalition bloc, which gains three seats to reach 50 mandates, even as the ruling party itself hits an unprecedented low.
The shift in the right-wing bloc comes primarily thanks to Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael party, which manages to cross the electoral threshold this time. In the previous survey, the reservists' party and the economic party were above the threshold while Winter remained outside; now the two have "switched places" — Winter enters the Knesset while Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha stay out.
However, the coalition's rise is tempered by Likud's weakening, as the party loses a seat and drops to just 19 mandates, the lowest figure recorded for the party since May 2025.
According to the overall mandate picture, the opposition bloc now has 58 mandates, while the Arab parties receive 12 mandates. The data also shows that the closing of party lists led to a sharp drop in undecided voters, which plummeted from 11% to just 7.5%.
