When Will Trump Strike Iran? The Seven Hidden Signs That a Strike is Imminent

As the Middle East waits for President Donald Trump to decide the fate of the Iranian regime, a new wave of data analysis is emerging to predict the timing of a potential American strike. While official intelligence remains classified, high tech product managers and top economists are looking at "open signals" ranging from Pentagon pizza deliveries to massive shifts in the currency markets. With the USS Abraham Lincoln and its carrier group finalizing their deployment, the question is no longer just if an attack will happen, but when. These indicators suggest that a decisive American move could do more than just neutralize a nuclear threat, it could fundamentally reshape the regional economy, potentially driving the Israeli shekel to historic strengths not seen in decades.

The StrikeRadar: Tracking the Signals of War

Yonatan, a high tech product manager, has developed a civilian system called StrikeRadar to monitor the likelihood of an American attack based on public data. The system uses an algorithmic weight to analyze different "signals" that often precede military action. The most heavily weighted factor is News Intelligence (30%), which scans global outlets like Reuters and the New York Times for specific language such as "imminent" or "nuclear." This is paired with Public Interest (20%), which tracks spikes in Wikipedia views regarding Iranian military capabilities.

The more tactical signals include Civil Aviation (15%) and Military Tankers (10%). If commercial airlines begin avoiding Iranian airspace and US refueling planes increase their activity in the Persian Gulf, the risk level on the dashboard rises. Interestingly, the system also tracks the "Pizza Index" (10%), a phenomenon observed during the 1991 Gulf War where a massive surge in late night pizza deliveries to the Pentagon indicated that defense officials were working through the night to finalize war plans. Finally, the system monitors Tehran’s weather (5%), as poor visibility often delays a kinetic strike. "The goal is not to show what people think, but to look at real signs," the developer explained.

Economic Aftermath: The Two-Shekel Scenario

Beyond the military tactics, Israeli economists are preparing for the financial fallout of a war with Iran. Leo Leiderman, former head of the research department at the Bank of Israel, suggests that the fall of the Iranian regime would be a historic catalyst for the Israeli economy. "One event could bring the shekel to a level of about 2 shekels per dollar, the fall of the regime in Iran," Leiderman stated. He explains that such an event would lead to massive capital flows into Israel, a sharp drop in the risk premium, and a regional boom in investment. While the shekel is currently trading at a strong 3.13 per dollar, Leiderman believes there is no "sacred number" that would stop it from strengthening further if the threat of the Ayatollahs is removed.

However, other experts warn of different scenarios. If the war becomes a long, drawn out struggle involving proxies and strikes on Israeli infrastructure, the shekel could actually weaken toward 3.8 or 4 per dollar as it did during the October 7 massacre by Hamas terrorists. Economists also note a middle ground, where a rapid strike weakens the regime's military capabilities without toppling it. In this case, the market would stabilize after an initial period of volatility. The common consensus remains that the current presence of the American "armada" has put the region in a state of high liquidity where the economic reality could change in a single morning.