Hezbollah’s Missile Arsenal Collapses to 20% Capacity Amid Iranian Pressure
Reports indicate Hezbollah’s missile capacity has plummeted to 20-30% of its 2023 levels. Analyst Ohad Hemo details the group's internal crisis, Iranian pressure, and the "devastating" warnings from Israel as regional tensions hit a breaking point.
As regional tensions escalate and the world waits to see when (and if) President Trump will actually strike Iran, new assessments are highlighting the significantly degraded state of Hezbollah’s missile capabilities. According to Arab affairs analyst Ohad Hemo, speaking on 103fm, the Lebanese terror group is currently operating at only 20% to 30% of the missile capacity it possessed prior to October 6, 2023.
Despite being pressured by Tehran to join a "Judgment Day" campaign against Israel, Hezbollah faces severe internal and structural constraints. The organization is described as a "pale shadow" of the force once led by Hassan Nasrallah, with current leader Naim Qassem viewed largely as an Iranian figurehead. Reports from Lebanon indicate that Israel has issued explicit warnings that any Hezbollah intervention would result in devastating consequences for the Lebanese state itself.
Beyond military degradation, the group is struggling with a fractured domestic base. The Shiite community in Lebanon is reportedly exhausted by a catastrophic economic crisis and the displacement of tens of thousands from southern Lebanon and Beirut.
To make matters worse, internal resentment is growing toward the Iranian regime, with many within Hezbollah’s ranks feeling abandoned by their patrons during previous rounds of conflict. While the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps remains active on the ground in Lebanon, analysts suggest the organization is keenly aware that a full-scale confrontation could lead to its total collapse.