The first Channel 12 poll released since Israel's candidate lists were finalized for the 26th Knesset shows a significant shift: both Ofer Winter's party and the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance led by Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin now clear the electoral threshold, contrary to previous surveys.
According to the polling data published Wednesday evening, Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party maintains its position as the largest faction with 25 Knesset seats, unchanged from the channel's previous survey. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud receives 21 seats, while Naftali Bennett's Yachad party earns 13 mandates.
Yair Golan's Democrats party weakens to 10 seats, while Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beiteinu strengthens to 9. The ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism party, headed by Yaakov Asher, receives 8 seats. The Joint List, led by Yosef Jabareen, and Shas under Aryeh Deri each secure 7 mandates.
The Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance led by Smotrich and Feiglin drops one seat to 5 mandates. Winter's Amcha Yisrael party gains a seat, also reaching 5, while Mansour Abbas's Ra'am party rounds out the list with 4 seats.
Several parties fall short of the threshold: Reservists and the New Economy party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha at 2.9%, Blue and White under Benny Gantz at 1.4%, the Haredi Public party led by Moti Leitner at 1%, Israel First under Sharon Haskel at 0.3%, and Noam L'Yisrael led by Avi Maoz at 0.2%.
The bloc map remains unchanged from the previous poll: coalition parties receive 52 seats, while opposition parties secure 68 mandates—57 for Zionist parties and 11 for Arab parties.
