Israel and U.S. Estimate: Fighting to Continue for 5 More Weeks
Military planners in Israel and the U.S. set a 5-week timeline to ensure Iran cannot rebuild its missile arrays. Meanwhile, U.S. intelligence monitors Tehran's failed attempts to bring Russia and China into the conflict.

Israel and the United States are currently formulating military plans for the coming days based on the assessment that the war is expected to last at least five more weeks. This timeline suggests a minimum six-week duration from the start of the conflict. The central objective for both Washington and Jerusalem is the complete destruction of Iran's operational capabilities, with a specific focus on its missile systems and launchers.
Within the IDF and the Operations Directorate, there is significant optimism regarding the ability to finalize the neutralization of the launcher arrays within a matter of days to a few short weeks.
Temporary vs. Permanent: The current state of emergency within Israel is not expected to last for the entirety of the planned five-week window.
The Strategy: The operational plan involves the immediate destruction of active launchers alongside the temporary "blocking" of others, followed by a subsequent wave of airstrikes to ensure their total annihilation.
Long-term Denial: The five-week timeframe is considered necessary to guarantee that Iran lacks the capacity to replenish its operational inventory even after the war concludes.
Iranian Efforts to Involve Global Powers
According to American intelligence indicators, Iran is actively attempting to draw China and Russia into the fighting.
Tehran is making concerted efforts to secure intervention from both superpowers, which serve as its primary commercial sources for intelligence sharing and military equipment. Thus far, Iranian efforts have not yielded significant success, though U.S. intelligence continues to monitor the situation closely.
President Donald Trump addressed these indicators two days ago, stating that he is not concerned about the possibility of such intervention.