Israeli Political Earthquake: New Poll Shows Netanyahu Surging as Bennett-Lapid Alliance Collapses Into Deadlocke

A new Channel 13 poll shows a sharp shift in Israel’s political map, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud remaining the largest party and the current coalition bloc rising to 56 seats, still short of a governing majority.

According to the poll, Likud would win 25 seats, while Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together party falls to 23. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar would become the third-largest party with 14 seats.

On the right, Otzma Yehudit and Shas each receive 10 seats, while United Torah Judaism gets 7. The Religious Zionist Party barely crosses the electoral threshold with 4 seats.

In the opposition bloc, the Democrats receive 9 seats and Yisrael Beytenu 8. Among the Arab parties, Hadash-Ta’al receives 6 seats and Ra’am 4.

The current coalition parties, Likud, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionist Party, would reach 56 seats, leaving Netanyahu short of the 61 needed to form a government on his own.

The poll also tested two possible political shakeups.

In the first scenario, Eisenkot joins Bennett and Lapid in a united Together list. Such a move would make the party the largest in the Knesset by a wide margin, with 38 seats, while lowering the current coalition bloc to 54.

In the second scenario, all Arab parties run together. A unified Arab list combining Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would win 16 seats, reflecting higher turnout and better vote consolidation in the Arab public.

The poll suggests that while Netanyahu’s bloc has strengthened, the political system remains deadlocked, with no clear path to a stable 61-seat majority.