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Tehran Totters, World Waits

Iran Falling Apart: Experts Say Collapse Is Imminent

International sanctions, Israeli strikes, and mass executions reveal Tehran’s growing desperation

Ali Khamenei
Ali Khamenei (Photo: Shutterstock)

The Islamic Republic of Iran is facing what experts describe as its gravest existential threat in decades.

A new report by the Henry Jackson Society, published in the New York Post, concludes that the regime in Tehran is “on the verge of collapse” as pressure mounts from every direction; sanctions, economic turmoil, and escalating Israeli military action.

The 38-page study, authored by geopolitical analyst Barak Sinner, describes widespread panic within the clerical elite. It highlights the execution of nearly 900 people this year alone — a campaign the UN condemned as a tool of intimidation rather than justice.

Sanctions: Germany, Britain, and France have triggered the “snapback” mechanism, reimposing heavy penalties that had been frozen since the 2015 nuclear deal.

Military pressure: Israeli strikes in June rattled Tehran’s defenses, reportedly even targeting Iran’s leadership in secure bunkers.

Economy: Inflation, unemployment, and shortages are eroding public patience, fueling unrest. INF

The report concludes with a stark assessment: either the West prepares for “the day after,” helping opposition groups manage a transition, or Iran’s collapse will be chaotic, with consequences far beyond its borders.

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