VP Vance Wins CPAC Straw Poll to Replace Trump, but Rubio Gains Ground
The results suggest an emerging two-candidate dynamic within the Republican Party, with Vance maintaining strong support tied to his alignment with President Donald Trump, while Rubio’s rise appears linked to his expanding role in foreign policy and national security, particularly amid the ongoing war with Iran.
US Vice President JD Vance led a 2028 Republican presidential straw poll at the Conservative Political Action Conference, though Secretary of State Marco Rubio significantly narrowed the gap compared to last year’s results.
Vance received 53% support among conference attendees, down from 61% in the previous poll. Rubio placed second with 35%, a sharp increase from just 3% a year earlier, indicating growing backing among conservative activists.
The results suggest an emerging two-candidate dynamic within the Republican Party, with Vance maintaining strong support tied to his alignment with President Donald Trump, while Rubio’s rise appears linked to his expanding role in foreign policy and national security, particularly amid the ongoing war with Iran.
Other potential contenders trailed far behind. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump Jr. each received 2% support, while several figures including Senators Ted Cruz and Rand Paul, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard each polled at 1%.
The CPAC straw poll is not a formal primary indicator but is often viewed as an early gauge of sentiment among conservative activists. The latest results reinforce Vance’s position as an early frontrunner while highlighting Rubio’s increasing visibility within the party.
Both men have downplayed speculation about a rivalry. Vance has said his focus remains on governing and upcoming midterm elections, while Rubio has previously indicated he would support Vance if he were to run.
President Trump, who is not eligible to seek another term, remains a central figure in shaping the party’s future direction, with potential successors positioning themselves ahead of the 2028 race.