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On the brink

Iran's President: "The Economy will Collapse Within a Month Without Ceasefire"

Internal Rift Explodes as President Clashes with IRGC Chief Over Devastating War Toll; Hardliners Threaten to Oust Foreign Minister for Pursuing Peace

Pezeshkian
Pezeshkian (Photo: Wikipedia)

Tehran is facing a historic internal crisis as a "deep rupture" has emerged between President Masoud Pezeshkian and the commander of the Revolutionary Guard (IRGC), Ahmad Vahidi. According to reports from the opposition outlet Iran International, the two are locked in a high-stakes dispute over the management of the ongoing war and its catastrophic impact on the regime's survival.

The "One-Month" Countdown

President Pezeshkian has reportedly issued a dire warning to the country's leadership: without an immediate ceasefire, the Iranian economy will "totally collapse within less than a month."

Executive Power Struggle: Pezeshkian demanded the restoration of executive management over the conflict to the civilian government.

Commander Vahidi flatly refused, instead blaming the current economic ruin on the government’s failure to implement structural reforms before the conflict began.

Signs of Systemic Failure

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On the streets of major Iranian cities, the collapse is no longer a forecast but a reality:

ATMs have run out of cash, and online banking platforms for major institutions like Bank Melli are suffering frequent, total outages.

Civil servants across the country report they have not received regular paychecks for three months, fueling widespread public resentment.

Humanitarian Brink: Economists estimate that over 50% of Tehran's population has fallen below the absolute poverty line as food prices rise by the hour.

Political Mutiny Against Diplomacy

While Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is reportedly pushing for a negotiated end to the hostilities, he faces an uprising from within the Majlis (Parliament). Hardline MP Kamran Ghazanfari issued a public ultimatum, stating that if Araghchi continues his "mission to end the war," the Parliament will move to impeach him immediately.

Ghazanfari asserted that the "Leadership" (referring to the new Provisional Council under Mojtaba Khamenei) has given no such order for peace. He maintained that Iran's conditions for ending the war remain unchanged: the complete closure of all U.S. bases in the region and an Israeli surrender.

What is Not Clear

Who is Actually in Charge? While Pezeshkian is the head of the Provisional Leadership Council under Article 111, the IRGC continues to launch strikes "at its own discretion." It is unclear if the President has any actual legal or physical mechanism to force the military to stop.

The role of the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, remains a mystery. While Ghazanfari claims the leadership opposes Araghchi’s peace efforts, reports suggest the "Leadership Council" (which includes Pezeshkian) originally authorized a halt to attacks on neighboring states.

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